Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Maintains Bullish Structure Despite Cooling Leverage and Outflows

Cardano price action on the 4-hour chart signals improving short-term conditions as buyers defend key technical levels. After weeks of sideways movement, ADA reclaimed the $0.40 level, restoring confidence in the near-term structure. This move followed a steady recovery from late-range lows and reflects improving market participation.

Significantly, the rebound occurred while broader crypto sentiment remained mixed, highlighting relative strength. Traders now focus on whether ADA can maintain this recovery or return to consolidation.

ADA continues trading above the Ichimoku cloud, which confirms short-term bullish control. Both conversion and base lines trend higher, reinforcing upward momentum. Besides that, price formed a higher low near $0.39, strengthening the developing uptrend. Consequently, short-term buyers retain control while ADA holds above the cloud’s upper boundary.

Immediate support sits between $0.398 and $0.400, which aligns with prior resistance turned support. A sustained hold above this zone keeps the structure intact. However, a pullback below $0.383 would weaken momentum and invite range-bound trading. Additionally, deeper support rests near $0.370 and $0.355, which mark key Fibonacci retracement levels.

On the upside, ADA faces near-term resistance around $0.414 to $0.415, an area tied to earlier selling pressure. A decisive break above this zone could unlock a move toward $0.437.

Moreover, the $0.440 to $0.445 range represents a broader breakout area where trend acceleration may occur. Hence, buyers must sustain volume and momentum to extend gains beyond current levels.

Capital flow indicators support this cautious optimism. The Chaikin Money Flow remains positive, signaling continued capital inflows.

This suggests buyers still accumulate dips rather than exit positions aggressively. However, momentum requires confirmation through sustained price acceptance above resistance.

Open interest trends reveal an important shift in trader behavior. Earlier expansion reflected rising leverage and speculative interest. Recently, open interest cooled toward the $800 to $900 million range. This signals reduced leverage and more cautious positioning. Consequently, traders appear less willing to chase momentum.

Spot flow data adds further context. Persistent outflows continue to outweigh inflows, pointing to ongoing distribution pressure. Although selling intensity softened recently, sellers remain active. Additionally, limited inflows suggest buyers lack strong conviction. Until inflows stabilize and outflows compress, ADA may struggle to sustain a sharp rally.

Key levels remain well-defined for Cardano as ADA trades above short-term structure support.

Upside levels sit at $0.415 and $0.437 as immediate hurdles. A sustained breakout above this zone could extend toward the $0.440–$0.445 resistance band, which marks trend continuation territory.

On the downside, $0.398–$0.400 remains the first level buyers must defend. Below that, $0.383 serves as a key Fibonacci midpoint, followed by $0.370 as critical trend support. Loss of this zone would weaken the bullish structure and expose ADA to deeper consolidation toward $0.355.

The technical picture suggests ADA is stabilizing above the Ichimoku cloud after a prolonged range. This compression phase often precedes volatility expansion.

ADA’s near-term direction hinges on holding $0.398 while challenging the $0.415–$0.437 cluster. Stronger inflows could push price into the upper resistance band. Failure to defend support risks a return to sideways price action. For now, ADA remains at a pivotal inflection point.