The Dip Isn't the Story. The Infrastructure Is.
The crash received media attention despite there being no reason for it to do so. Bitcoin dropped in price as did alternative cryptocurrencies but to a greater degree. Panic selling was seen from the retail trading side of things, with people selling into their own liquidation walls they set up weeks prior. None of this is anything new or surprising; the surprise is what's happening behind the scenes in companies that have a clear vision for the future and are not focused on recovering prices. They are focused on an end of speculation being the identity of cryptocurrency.
"In 2026, we will see no hype or memes…instead we will see consolidation, real compliance, and institutionally driven liquidity from the public markets." This is a legitimate case for a decline in prices and should be seen as an early warning of what happened to $Bitcoin (BTC) and $Altcoins (ETH, XRP, etc.). The fact that it occurred at all gives an opportunity for some to reset their positions within accounts set up for future investing (the Learn-to-Invest program). Building from there will look dramatically different than it did during 2021-22.
AI Agents Are About to Become the Largest Crypto Users
This isn't a guess. In a report from a16z (Andreessen Horowitz), AI agents outnumber humans 96 to 1 (in the financial sector). And they're also completely unbanked; without the ability to transact with any sort of payment system, there's no identity associated with any payment rail (no compliance history); they cannot service any type of payment (including settlement of API calls). This huge disparity must be resolved by 2026 if we want to see sections of agentic commerce take off.
KYA (Know Your Agent) is how a16z suggests this issue be addressed. Cryptographic identity is tied to human principals based on operational limitations and legal liabilities. Think of KYC for bots. x402 and other protocols take care of how payments are processed (allowing for instantaneous, permissionless micro transactions between autonomous systems). According to Jay Yu from Pantera Capital, several networks will see over 50% of their revenues come from x402 agent-to-agent payments by the end of this year. Money now moves at machine speed, and crypto is the only rail designed with this in mind.
Privacy Isn't a Feature Anymore. It's the Moat.
a16z has made it abundantly clear that in 2026, Privacy will be the single most important competitive advantage for any blockchain. Not throughput, Not a development tool, but Privacy. When a chain is private, users will not leave because moving secrets results in revealing metadata, and that friction results in lock-in that no marketing budget can provide.
The need for Privacy is going to be driven by institutions because banks, healthcare, and government agency contracts will not use a public ledger where everyone can see everything. The chains that solve this will be rewarded with a flow of transactions that have never been seen before in cryptocurrency. Arthur Hayes has also noted that institutions will not grow on transparent blockchains; Privacy first architecture has become mandatory— it is now part of the admission requirements.
RWAs Aren't Coming. They're Already Here.
The total value of real-world asset tokenization in 2025 is estimated to be beyond $18 billion dollars. Tokenized treasuries, gold, real estate, and private credit are examples of tokenized assets. They are represented and have cash flow backs with legal ownership outlined for them. All of these transactions will occur on-chain due to the lack of traditional transaction options available at this pace.
According to Pantera, tokenized gold should be the predominant form of real-world assets in the future. Areas where physical ownership of gold is much stricter coupled with macro hedging demand would surpass all other forms of real-world asset by this time.
Anderson Horwitz and Dapp Media LLC track this evolution closely and conclude the shift is not just about tokenizing the assets we currently own, but also about how loans, synthetic instruments with dedicated liquidity to act as credit arrangements with built-in programmed settlement timelines will contribute to the future of credit. The success of perpetual futures has now demonstrated the feasibility of a similar framework for providing credit products to consumers or businesses as well as buying and selling mortgages and revenue-sharing contracts. There is no longer any need for testing out this approach. It is a viable product category with substantial volumes associated with it.
Stablecoins Just Became the Internet's Dollar
By 2025 the transaction volume of all electronic transactions will be approximately $46 trillion dollars or more than 20x the total transaction volume processed by PayPal alone. Visa's volume has nearly tripled since 2018. Stablecoins will not only replace traditional fiat currencies, but they will also replace banks' ledgers as a method for transferring value across borders, resulting in faster settlement time, lower costs, and fewer intermediaries (e.g., correspondent banks). In addition to helping to facilitate this transformation of cross-border value transfer through stablecoins is the foundation for developing new types of apps for money and earning yield on money (i.e., lending). As part of this process, the U.S. Congress has established a new legal framework for both governments and financial regulators working to implement new regulations for stablecoins. Currently, there are 10 institutions actively developing a consortium stablecoin that will be backed by the G7 currencies' currency values.
This does not suggest, however, that U.S. banks are warming up to cryptocurrencies. Instead, they are building their own versions of stablecoins because they have no other choice. According to Pantera Capital, some of the largest fintechs, including Stripe, Ramp, and Brex, will transition to using stablecoins in place of traditional fiat for cross-border payments. This transition will enable these companies to offer faster settlement times (from as many as two weeks to only hours), lower costs (a reduction of as much as 90%), and fewer intermediaries (i.e., correspondent banks). As a result, stablecoins are being used as the foundational layer upon which international commerce will take place, based on simple math, not because of debt-advocates' desires.
zkVM Breakthroughs Change What's Possible
Justin Thaler clearly articulated what will be the impact of zkVM prover overhead. By 2026 they will be 10,000x higher than they currently are and will be running on hundreds of megabytes of memory. In fact, they will run on phones! A realisation of this was that a single GPU could produce cryptographic proofs of CPU execution, in real-time. This opens up a new way of providing verifiable cloud computing to all workloads running remotely through providing cryptographic proof of creating correctness independent of the server.
Now the zkVM system has extended to cover much more than just the blockchain. The cycle from research paper to production-ready technology has occurred in one iteration. In addition, cloud service providers, commercial companies and government agencies are now able to produce proofs of computation without re-running. That is not something that happens often in the tech industry.
Nation-States Are Buying. The Holdouts Are Running Out of Time.
Metaplanet, based in Japan, already has a significant amount of Bitcoin. By mid-December 2025, 151 public firms had $95 billion in Bitcoin, with 164 companies and $148 billion including governments. The United States no longer dominates this trend. The global treasury landscape is rapidly diversifying, and Pantera predicts ruthless pruning: in each major crypto asset class, one or two companies dominate. Everyone else is either acquired or disappears.
This is not a bull market cycle in which rising tides raise all boats. Institutional money is chosen, concentrated, and permanent. Corporate Bitcoin treasuries collectively account for around 5.4% of total supply. Strategy alone owns 709,715 BTC. Consolidation is already happening—not foreseen, but already underway.
This Isn't 1999. It's 1996.
The firms being built right now—agent identification layers, privacy chains, stablecoin payment rails, and zkVM proof systems—are not glamorous. They do not generate pump cycles. They promote adoption. Bitcoin's 90-day volatility fell to 35-40% by the end of 2025, making it comparable to high-growth technology stocks. That's not a coincidence. This is asset class maturation in real time.
The trends that will survive this slump are not predictions. They're already funded, shipping, and processing actual volume. The question is not whether cryptocurrency returns. It comes down to whether you are holding the infrastructure that survives or the story that does not.